Nov 22 2009

EZPW Price Target at $16.91 with some upside

As I continue to hold EZPW in my portfolio with positive alpha, I want to set a price target for the stock to help me identify when the position should be closed.  Using the value scorecard as a start, I use a discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis with sensitivity charts to help set my price target.

For EZPW, I have calculated a price target of $16.91 per share.  Some of the major assumption to get to this price per share are a 5% free cash flow growth rate over the next five years with a 0%  terminal value.  The cash flows are discounted with a WACC of 7.7%

To see my full set of assumptions and resulting analysis, see the document below:

DCF Summary

Looking at the sensitivity chart, these shares can easily get into the $20 per share with some slight increases on both growth rates…

As new financial results are provided, I will update my price target accordingly.

Author Disclosure: I currently own shares of EZPW at the time of this posting.

Bookmark and Share

7 Comments on this post

Trackbacks

  1. House Design Sydney said:

    It is just a wild guess. Nothing more. Many times it is an overly optimistic hope more than anything else.

    November 24th, 2009 at 1:34 am
  2. vitamins said:

    Nice post.

    November 25th, 2009 at 5:23 am
  3. carp fishing said:

    That is really a great suggest with have a nice info.It is really a thought on this topic.I am very glad to watch this info…..

    December 1st, 2009 at 6:20 am
  4. Sensual photography said:

    Take your real estate classes but also take a basic accounting course, real estate law, any finance course and a course in public speaking. Don’t laugh, you will use all those courses through your career.

    December 1st, 2009 at 8:25 am
  5. House Design Sydney said:

    “target price” is a highly reliable indicator whether a stock analyst will either keep his job in the next six months, or get a bonus at year’s end. if the target price is reached, then the analyst gets to keep his job and most likely to get a bonus. if the stock fails to reach target price, that is one strike against the analyst.

    December 2nd, 2009 at 5:28 am
  6. nintendo r4ds said:

    Reliance Natural can be purchased at its current price with a target of Rs 250. I have 50K stocks of it and will not sell before it reaches 250. It is the best stock to own at its current price.

    December 4th, 2009 at 4:10 am
  7. Corporate Security services said:

    How do I create a pretend portfolio for the stock market with out real money?

    February 7th, 2010 at 12:24 pm

LEAVE A COMMENT

Subscribe Form

Subscribe to Blog

Finance Puzzle Friends

Cash advance loans from DollarsDirect are usually approved in as little as thirty minutes.
Apply for payday loans with easy five-minute online application.
Bettertrades helps you in making money on the stock market.Whether you want to trade stocks or options Freddie Rick will guide you to make better decisions in your trading.
Advertise Here - Text Link Ad $10 until Dec 31, 2009 Contact me now! Selling only one space

Support Finance Puzzle

What I’m Doing….

UBD Moneymaker Theme by Unique Blog Designs & Phillip van Coller